I’ve recently been looking at Martin Trauth‘s book MATLAB® Recipes for Earth Sciences to try to understand what some of my palaeoceanography colleagues are doing with their data analyses (lots of frequency domain time series techniques and a preponderance of … Continue reading → [Read more...]

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Previously, I did a simple Bayesian projection of recent temperature using proxy data and the methods shown in McShane and Wyner (2010). I showed that when you take out the last 30 years of data (1969~1998), the projection does not track the recent uptick in temperatures well. The “projection” is a simple unparametric ... [Read more...]

Update: fixed projection. There are a bunch of “hockey sticks” that calculate past global temps. through the use of proxies when instrumental data is absent. There is a new one out there by McShane and Wyner (2010) that’s creating quite a stir in the blogosphere (here, here, here, here). The ... [Read more...]