Understanding the Link Between Uncertainty and Imports by glmnet

June 23, 2025 | Selcuk Disci

According to the graph below, suggested by Fernando Leibovici, the increase in uncertainty that began in late 2024 aligns with a rise in imports, indicating that US importers accelerated their purchases as a precaution against expected tariff increases or supply chain disruptions. When we model the variables with the glmnet engine, ...
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THAMES for mixtures, a reply from the authors

June 22, 2025 | xi'an

[Here is a reply to my comments on THAMES sent by the first author of the paper, Martin Metodiev. The above replica of the cover of Rivers of London is obviously unrelated with the reply or the original blog, beyond presenting a fantasy map of the Thames!] Thank you for ...
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MCP: Avant la Fonction, la Confiance

June 20, 2025 | Boris Guarisma

Photo by Cytonn Photography on Unsplash Cher journal, « Aujourd’hui, je m’imaginais avoir laissé un agent IA piloter le déploiement de mes services cloud pendant que je savourais mon café. Et, dans ce silence, j’ai senti un frisson : qui, dans cette... [Read more...]

Oh Leave it Out

June 18, 2025 | R on kieranhealy.org

Sometimes we want to repeatedly do things with all but one row of a data frame, where we systematically drop each row in turn and do the thing. For example, jacknife cross-validation is a kind of very basic bootstrap technique. (It is computationally s... [Read more...]
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