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250 years of Bayes’ Theorem

April 19, 2011 | David Smith

The Reverend Thomas Bayes died 250 years ago this month. His grave, located near epidemiological centre of excellence St Mary's College, remains a point of pilgrimage for statisticians (of both Bayesian and Frequentist stripes) visiting London to this day. Because since then, Bayes Theorem has been the underpinning of predictive analytics ... [Read more...]

How Kaggle competitors use R

April 19, 2011 | David Smith

The competitive data prediction competitions hosted by Kaggle require data scientists to bring their A game: the competition is intense, and competitors know in real time from the daily leaderboards how their predictions compare in accuracy to those of their rivals. So it's no surprise that open-source R, the most ... [Read more...]

Barron’s Spring 2008 Big Money Poll

April 19, 2011 | klr

Barron's April 28, 2008, Cover Story "Back in the Pool" offers a great hindsight look at our wonderful foresight: “AND NOW, FOR SOME GOOD NEWS: THE OTHER SHOE isn't going to drop. After a winter of discontent marked by massive write-offs on Wall Str...
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Day #25-26 R is soo static!

April 19, 2011 | Stageverloop Kris » R-En

Today I stumbled upon a very nice package called “rgl”. For documentation and demos, take a look at it’s website. Rgl is: quoted by rgl site itself: The rgl package is a visualization device system for R, using OpenGL as the rendering... [Read more...]

Flu Trends

April 18, 2011 | ALT

Not a model, but certainly Mickey Mousey: here’s some R code that plots Google’s US flu data:df
[Read more...]

Mickey Mouse Models

April 18, 2011 | ALT

My statistics professor once drew a little Markov chain on the board and called it “just a Mickey Mouse model,” because it was too simple to represent anything serious.
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GEOSTAT 2011 — Canberra

April 18, 2011 | dylan

Just got back from the 2011 GEOSTAT summer school that recently took place in Canberra, Australia. Thanks to Tom Hengl for the invitation to co-teach the course, to the great folks at ANU who made it possible, and to all of the students who participat... [Read more...]

Progress reading SAS sas7bdat files (natively) in R

April 18, 2011 | BioStatMatt

This post describes some preliminary results from a compatibility study of the SAS sas7bdat file format. The most current results stored in a github repository here: sas7bdat The ultimate goal is a native solution to the incompatibility between open-source statistical software (e.g. R) and sas7bdat database ... [Read more...]

Weight compared to risk fraction

April 18, 2011 | Pat

How well do asset weight constraints constrain risk? The setup In “Unproxying weight constraints” I claimed that many constraints on asset weights are really a proxy for constraining risk. That is not a problem if weights are a good proxy for risk.  So the question is: how good of a ... [Read more...]

Friday Function: setInternet2

April 15, 2011 | richierocks

Corporate IT networks are a pain for programmers. Ideally, when programming, you want the freedom to download, install and run any software that you want. Unfortunately, in the interests of security, many programmers find themselves a little restricted at the office. (I’m sure that many network admins will protest ... [Read more...]

Slides and replay for PMML webinar

April 15, 2011 | David Smith

If you missed Wednesday's webinar on Deploying Predictive Analytics with Revolution R, PMML and ADAPA, the presentation slides and the replay (in WMV, reg. req'd) format are now available for download. Here are some additional references, from the closing slide: How Revolution R and ADAPA work together The PMML Package ... [Read more...]

Visualizing tax brackets

April 15, 2011 | David Smith

With Tax Day fast approaching here in the US, there's been a lot of discussion about tax policy and in particular the tax rates paid by the highest income earners. Like in many countries, here the income tax system is bracketed: Tax Bracket Single Married Filing Jointly 10% Bracket $0 – $8,375 $0 – $16,750 15% Bracket $8,375 – $34,000 $16,750 – $68,000 25% Bracket $34,000 – $82,400 $68,000 – $137,300 28% ... [Read more...]

Recursive Trading System in R

April 15, 2011 | Milk Trader

I have a trick knee. Normally, it works just fine. But if I stand on my head when its raining on Tuesdays and Thursdays and pinch my nose, it hurts. Not just a little. It hurts a lot. I went to the doctor and he told me not to stand ...
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R 2.12 to 2.13 package upgrade

April 14, 2011 | nsaunders

If you: use Linux have just upgraded your R installation from 2.12 to 2.13 installed some/all of your packages in your home area (e.g. ~/R/i486-pc-linux-gnu-library/2.12) and… …are wondering why R can’t see them any more just do this: # at a shell prompt cp ~/R/i486-pc-linux-gnu-library/2.12 ~/R/... [Read more...]
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