I finally got around to publishing my time series cross-validation package to github, and I plan to push it out to CRAN  shortly. You can clone the repo using github for mac, for windows, or linux, and then run the following script to... [Read more...]

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This is a quick post on the importance of benchmarking time-series forecasts.  First we need to reload the functions from my last few posts on times-series cross-validation.  (I copied the relevant code at the bottom of this post so you don't... [Read more...]

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In my previous post, I shared a function for parallel time-series cross-validation, based on Rob Hyndman's code.  I thought I'd expand on that example a little bit, and share some additional wrapper functions I wrote to test other forecasting&nbsp... [Read more...]

Rob Hyndman has a great post on his blog with example on how to cross-validate a time series model.  The basic concept is simple:  You start with a minimum number of observations (k), and fit a model (e.g. an arima model) to those observation... [Read more...]

Note: This post is NOT financial advice!  This is just a fun way to explore some of the capabilities R has for importing and manipulating data.   In part 2, we found that our 200-day high, hold 100 days strategy yielded average annual return... [Read more...]

Note: This post is NOT financial advice!  This is just a fun way to explore some of the capabilities R has for importing and manipulating data.   In a previous post, I examined a simple stock trading strategy: Find the high point over the la... [Read more...]

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Note: This post is NOT financial advice!  This is just a fun way to explore some of the capabilities R has for importing and manipulating data.   In my last post, I demonstrated how to backtest a simple momentum-based stock trading strategy ... [Read more...]

Note: This post is NOT financial advice!  This is just a fun way to explore some of the capabilities R has for importing and manipulating data. The Financial Times says it's time to "Fire your Adviser" because correlations among US stocks ar... [Read more...]

Note: This post is NOT financial advice!  This is just a fun way to explore some of the capabilities R has for importing and manipulating data.   I recently read a post on ETF Prophet that explored an interesting stock trading strategy in Ex... [Read more...]

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If the Flight of the Concords taught me anything, it's that you can't trust Australians. This morning I was poking around the DataMarket site, when I noticed something suspicious about Australian sheep production: I decided to investigate further: ju... [Read more...]

I studied Ecology as an undergraduate, which meant I spent a lot of time gathering and analyzing field data. One of the basic tools we used to look for relationships in a large set of variables was correlation and scatterplot matrices. Each of these ... [Read more...]

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