Articles by xi'an

checking for finite variance of importance samplers

June 10, 2014 | xi'an

Over a welcomed curry yesterday night in Edinburgh I read this 2008 paper by Koopman, Shephard and Creal, testing the assumptions behind importance sampling, which purpose is to check on-line for (in)finite variance in an importance sampler, based on the empirical distribution of the importance weights. To this goal, the ... [Read more...]

Tools for Online Teaching

May 30, 2014 | xi'an

Last semester (Fall 2014), I organized and taught an interdisciplinary, collaborative class titled Probability for Scientists. Getting 4 separate teachers on the same page was a challenge, but as scientists we're used to communicating over email, and ... [Read more...]

estimation of deformations of densities

May 21, 2014 | xi'an

Today, Jean-Michel Loubes from Toulouse gave a seminar in Dauphine on the estimation of deformations using Wassertsein distances. This is functional data analysis, where samples from random transforms of the original density are observed towards estimating the baseline (or true) measure As a neophyte, I found the problem of interest ... [Read more...]

understanding complex and large industrial data (UCLID 2014)

May 15, 2014 | xi'an

Just received this announcement of the UCLID 2014 conference in Lancaster, July 1-2 2014: Understanding Complex and Large Industrial Data 2014, or UCLID, is a workshop which aims to provide an opportunity for academic researchers and industrial practitioners to work together and share ideas on the fast developing field of ‘big data’ analysis. ... [Read more...]

the Flatland paradox

May 12, 2014 | xi'an

Pierre Druilhet arXived a note a few days ago about the Flatland paradox (due to Stone, 1976) and his arguments against the flat prior. The paradox in this highly artificial setting is as follows:  Consider a sequence θ of N independent draws from {a,b,1/a,1/b} such that N and θ are ...
[Read more...]

terrible graph of the day

May 12, 2014 | xi'an

A truly terrible graph in Le Monde about overweight and obesity in the EU countries (and Switzerland). The circle presentation makes no logical sense. Countries are ordered by 2030 overweight percentages, which implies the order differs for men and women. (With a neat sexist differentiation between male and female figures.)  The ...
[Read more...]

stopping rule impact

May 8, 2014 | xi'an

Here is a question from my friend Shravan Vasishth about the consequences of using a stopping rule: Psycholinguists and psychologists often adopt the following type of data-gathering procedure: The experimenter gathers n data points, then checks for significance (p [Read more...]

Le Monde puzzle [#865]

May 5, 2014 | xi'an

A Le Monde mathematical puzzle in combinatorics: Given a permutation σ of {1,…,5}, if σ(1)=n, the n first values of σ are inverted. If the process is iterated until σ(1)=1, does this always happen and if so what is the maximal  number of iterations? Solve the same question for the set {1,…,2014}. I ran the ...
[Read more...]

RSS statistical analytics challenge 2014

May 1, 2014 | xi'an

Great news! The RSS is setting a data analysis challenge this year, sponsored by the Young Statisticians Section and Research Section of the Royal Statistical Society: Details are available on the wordpress website of the Challenge. Registration is open and the Challenge goes live on Tuesday 6 May 2014 for an exciting 6 ... [Read more...]

Le Monde puzzle [#869]

April 26, 2014 | xi'an

A Le Monde mathematical puzzle once again in a Sudoku mode: In an nxn table, all integers between 1 and n appear n times. If max denotes the maximum over the numbers of different integers on all rows and columns,  what is the minimum value of max when n=7? when n=11? ...
[Read more...]

AISTATS 2014 / MLSS tutorial

April 25, 2014 | xi'an

Here are the slides of the tutorial on ABC methods I gave yesterday at both AISTAST 2014 and MLSS. (I actually gave a tutorial at another MLSS a few years ago, on the pretty island of Berder in Brittany, next to Vannes.) They are definitely similar to previous talks and tutorials ... [Read more...]

Le Monde sans puzzle [& sans penguins]

April 11, 2014 | xi'an

As the Le Monde mathematical puzzle of this week was a geometric one (the quadrangle ABCD is divided into two parts with the same area, &tc…) , with no clear R resolution, I chose to bypass it. In this April 3 issue, several items of interest: first, a report by Etienne Ghys ... [Read more...]

data scientist position

April 6, 2014 | xi'an

Our newly created Chaire “Economie et gestion des nouvelles données” in Paris-Dauphine, ENS Ulm, École Polytechnique and ENSAE is recruiting a data scientist starting as early as May 1, the call remaining open till the position is filled. The location is in one of the above labs in Paris, the ... [Read more...]

Le Monde puzzle [#860]

April 3, 2014 | xi'an

A Le Monde mathematical puzzle that connects to my awalé post of last year: For N≤18, N balls are placed in N consecutive holes. Two players, Alice and Bob, consecutively take two balls at a time provided those balls are in contiguous holes. The loser is left with orphaned balls. ...
[Read more...]

Bayesian Data Analysis [BDA3 – part #2]

March 30, 2014 | xi'an

Here is the second part of my review of Gelman et al.’ Bayesian Data Analysis (third edition): “When an iterative simulation algorithm is “tuned” (…) the iterations will not in general converge to the target distribution.” (p.297) Part III covers advanced computation, obviously including MCMC but also model approximations like variational ...
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Bayesian Data Analysis [BDA3]

March 27, 2014 | xi'an

Andrew Gelman and his coauthors, John Carlin, Hal Stern, David Dunson, Aki Vehtari, and Don Rubin, have now published the latest edition of their book Bayesian Data Analysis. David and Aki are newcomers to the authors’ list, with an extended section on non-linear and non-parametric models. I have been asked ...
[Read more...]

MCMC on zero measure sets

March 23, 2014 | xi'an

Simulating a bivariate normal under the constraint (or conditional to the fact) that x²-y²=1 (a non-linear zero measure curve in the 2-dimensional Euclidean space) is not that easy: if running a random walk along that curve (by running a random walk on y and deducing x as x²=y²+1 ... [Read more...]

Le Monde puzzle [#857]

March 21, 2014 | xi'an

A rather bland case of Le Monde mathematical puzzle : Two positive integers x and y are turned into s=x+y and p=xy. If Sarah and Primrose are given S and P, respectively, how can the following dialogue happen? I am sure you cannot find my number Now you ...
[Read more...]

fine-sliced Poisson [a.k.a. sashimi]

March 19, 2014 | xi'an

As my student Kévin Guimard had not mailed me his own Poisson slice sampler of a Poisson distribution, I could not tell why the code was not working! My earlier post prompted him to do so and a somewhat optimised version is given below: As you can easily check ... [Read more...]
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