I really like running simulation models before sporting events because they can give you a much greater depth of understanding of team performance compared to the ‘raw’ odds that you might get from the media or bookmakers, or the often varied opinions of different sports pundits. Yes, Ireland usually get ... [Read more...]

With the Rugby World Cup 2019 Japan starting on 20th September, I thought I’d take a look at the tournament from a few different statistical angles. For this post I’ll be looking at the problem: given a rugby score, how can we decompose it into possible combinations of tries, ... [Read more...]

I analysed Transport for London Santander bike rentals for 2018 and put together a map which shows which stations are used the most and how the network flows. http://statsonthe.cloud/2018bikes/ More to come soon, including details of how to make the m... [Read more...]

In an earlier post I blogged how I had made a Monte Carlo simulation model of the Six Nations Rugby Tournament.  With the final round of the tournament approaching this Saturday, I decided to do a quick update. Who can win at this stage? Wales, England, or Ireland can still ... [Read more...]

I really like running simulation models before sporting events because they can give you so much more depth of understanding compared to the ‘raw’ odds that you get from the media or bookmakers, etc.  Yes, a team might have a “30% chance of winning a tournament we might hear”.  But there ... [Read more...]

Time is such a precious commodity especially with a family.  So when your daughter asks to play a board game… you think ‘how long will this take’.  With most board games, one is able to roughly estimate how long the game will take… the Shopping Game, well that can be ... [Read more...]