Just like James Morrison and Nelly Furtado say, you really can't play a broken string. And quite similarly, you just can't use a broken link.I always find it very annoying when, while browsing a website, I find a broken link. You fall victim to the pro... [Read more...]

I should start this with a disclaimer, ie that I'm not really claiming any "success" with this post. But I find it quite interesting that the estimations I produced with this very, very simple model turned out to be quite good.The idea was to use the e... [Read more...]

Given that Sampdoria have lost their fourth game in a row, I am not really interested in football any more (as of yesterday, I actually find it a very boring game and think we should focus on real sports $-$ of course if we manage to break the cra... [Read more...]

I couldn't resist getting sucked into the hype associated with the US election and debates, and so I thought I had a little fun of my own and played around a bit with the numbers. [OK: you may disagree with the definition of "fun" $-$ but then again, i... [Read more...]

Great as it is, Google does not always give the "best", or "right" (ie "most appropriate") results on a given search. For example, if you google "jags" (using google.co.uk), the first results are a girls' independent school and a sports club. The real JAGS (OK: real in a ... [Read more...]

I've had a quick look at this article on R-bloggers $-$ I don't think I've followed the whole exchange, but I believe they have discussed what models should/could be applied to estimate football scores (specifically, in this case they are using the Dut... [Read more...]

This links back to previous posts here and here. Earlier today, I had a quick chat with Michela (by email, actually) on this topic. In particular, she was trying to use the function I've written to compute summaries from the posterior distrib... [Read more...]

I've prepared a document (which I've put on the website here, together with some scripts at this page) which I think is helpful, if you're trying to work out BCEA. I have never really thought of this, but I believe that when you write an acad... [Read more...]

I have polished up one of the two functions I've thought of implementing for INLA and it's now available in the development version of the R package. So if you've got INLA installed in your R version (see how you can do it here, if you don't), you... [Read more...]

Probably sooner than I expected, I have managed to also upload the codes for the examples in Chapter 5 of the book, which deals with doing Bayesian health economic evaluations. Basically, there are 3 examples, which sort of represent the main clas... [Read more...]

I finally (nearly) got around to prepare the R code to replicate the examples in the book. I divided the examples by chapter and then linked to the R scripts and, for those involving Bayesian analysis, the associated JAGS models.At the moment, the scri... [Read more...]

Getting closer to my personal Euro2012 derby: England v Italy. I find amusing that both sets of media think that their respective team have been gifted a good tie. The English are very happy to have avoided Spain, while the Italians don't mind not... [Read more...]

The process is relatively smooth, I think - especially if you start off with a Linux machine. However, when I had to compile the package and documentation for BCEA, I still had a couple of blips. The first problem was in the documentation. R tries... [Read more...]