Articles by Bob Carpenter

Will Stanton hit 61 home runs this season?

September 21, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

[edit: Juho Kokkala corrected my homework. Thanks! I updated the post. Also see some further elaboration in my reply to Andrew’s comment. As Andrew likes to say …] So far, Giancarlo Stanton has hit 56 home runs in 555 at bats over 149 games. Miami has 10 games left to play. What’s the ... [Read more...]

Will Stanton hit 61 home runs this season?

September 21, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

[edit: Juho Kokkala corrected my homework. Thanks! I updated the post. Also see some further elaboration in my reply to Andrew’s comment. As Andrew likes to say …] So far, Giancarlo Stanton has hit 56 home runs in 555 at bats over 149 games. Miami has 10 games left to play. What’s the ...
[Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 25 August 2017

August 25, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

This week, the entire Columbia portion of the Stan team is out of the office and we didn’t have an in-person/online meeting this Thursday. Mitzi and I are on vacation, and everyone else is either teaching, TA-ing, or attending the Stan course. Luckily for this report, there’s ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 25 August 2017

August 25, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

This week, the entire Columbia portion of the Stan team is out of the office and we didn’t have an in-person/online meeting this Thursday. Mitzi and I are on vacation, and everyone else is either teaching, TA-ing, or attending the Stan course. Luckily for this report, there’s ...
[Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 11 August 2017

August 11, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

This week, more Stan! Charles Margossian is rock star of the week, finishing off the algebraic solver math library fixture and getting all plumbed through Stan and documented. Now you can solve nonlinear sets of equations and get derivatives with the implicit function theorem all as part of defining your ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 11 August 2017

August 11, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

This week, more Stan! Charles Margossian is rock star of the week, finishing off the algebraic solver math library fixture and getting all plumbed through Stan and documented. Now you can solve nonlinear sets of equations and get derivatives with the implicit function theory all as part of defining your ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 3 August 2017

August 4, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

You’d almost think we were Europeans based on how much we’ve slowed down over the summer. Imad Ali, Jonah Gabry, and Ben Goodrich finished the online pkgdown-style documentation for all the Stan Development Team supported R packages. They can be accessed via http://mc-stan.org/(package_name), e.... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 3 August 2017

August 4, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

You’d almost think we were Europeans based on how much we’ve slowed down over the summer. Imad Ali, Jonah Gabry, and Ben Goodrich finished the online pkgdown-style documentation for all the Stan Development Team supported R packages. They can be accessed via http://mc-stan.org/(package_name), e.... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 28 July 2017

July 28, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Here’s the roundup for this past week. Michael Betancourt added case studies for methodology in both Python and R, based on the work he did getting the ML meetup together: RStan workflow PyStan workflow Michael Betancourt, along with Mitzi Morris, Sean Talts, and Jonah Gabry taught the women in ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 28 July 2017

July 28, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Here’s the roundup for this past week. Michael Betancourt added case studies for methodology in both Python and R, based on the work he did getting the ML meetup together: RStan workflow PyStan workflow Michael Betancourt, along with Mitzi Morris, Sean Talts, and Jonah Gabry taught the women in ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 21 July 2017

July 21, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

It was another productive week in Stan land. The big news is that Jonathan Auerbach, Tim Jones, Susanna Makela, Swupnil Sahai, and Robin Winstanley won first place in a New York City competition for predicting elementary school enrollment. Jonathan told me, “I heard 192 entered, and there were 5 finalists….Of course, ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 21 July 2017

July 21, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

It was another productive week in Stan land. The big news is that Jonathan Auerbach reports that A team of Columbia students (mostly Andrew’s, including myself) recently won first place in a competition predicting elementary school enrollment. I heard 192 entered, and there were 5 finalists….Of course, we used Stan (... [Read more...]

Animating a spinner using ggplot2 and ImageMagick

July 18, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

It’s Sunday, and I [Bob] am just sitting on the couch peacefully ggplotting to illustrate basic sample spaces using spinners (a trick I’m borrowing from Jim Albert’s book Curve Ball). There’s an underlying continuous outcome (i.e., where the spinner lands) and a quantization into a ... [Read more...]

Animating a spinner using ggplot2 and ImageMagick

July 18, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

It’s Sunday, and I [Bob] am just sitting on the couch peacefully ggplotting to illustrate basic sample spaces using spinners (a trick I’m borrowing from Jim Albert’s book Curve Ball). There’s an underlying continuous outcome (i.e., where the spinner lands) and a quantization into a ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 14 July 2017

July 14, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Another week, another bunch of Stan updates. Kevin Van Horn and Elea McDonnell Feit put together a tutorial on Stan [GitHub link] that covers linear regression, multinomial logistic regression, and hierarchical multinomial logistic regression. Andrew has been working on writing up our “workflow”. That includes Chapter 1, Verse 1 of Bayesian Data ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 14 July 2017

July 14, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Another week, another bunch of Stan updates. Kevin Van Horn and Elea McDonnell Feit put together a tutorial on Stan [GitHub link] that covers linear regression, multinomial logistic regression, and hierarchical multinomial logistic regression. Andrew has been working on writing up our “workflow,” by which he means not only the ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 7 July 2017

July 7, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Holiday weekend, schmoliday weekend. Ben Goodrich and Jonah Gabry shipped RStan 2.16.2 (their numbering is a little beyond base Stan, which is at 2.16.0). This reintroduces error reporting that got lost in the 2.15 refactor, so please upgrade if you want to debug your Stan programs! Joe Haupt translated the JAGS examples in ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 7 July 2017

July 7, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Holiday weekend, schmoliday weekend. Ben Goodrich and Jonah Gabry shipped RStan 2.16.2 (their numbering is a little beyond base Stan, which is at 2.16.0). This reintroduces error reporting that got lost in the 2.15 refactor, so please upgrade if you want to debug your Stan programs! Joe Haupt translated the JAGS examples in ... [Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 30 June 2017

June 30, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Here’s some things that have been going on with Stan since the last week’s roundup Stan® and the logo were granted a U.S. Trademark Registration No. 5,222,891 and a U.S. Serial Number: 87,237,369, respectively. Hard to feel special when there were millions of products ahead of you. Trademarked ...
[Read more...]

Stan Weekly Roundup, 30 June 2017

June 30, 2017 | Bob Carpenter

Here’s some things that have been going on with Stan since the last week’s roundup Stan® and the logo and were was granted U.S. Trademark Registrations No. 5,222,891 and U.S. Serial Number: 87,237,369. Hard to feel special when there were millions of products ahead of you. Trademarked names ... [Read more...]
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