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First, let us recall a standard result from linear algebra: “real symmetric matrices are diagonalizable by orthogonal matrices“. Thus, any variance-covariance matrix Want to share your content on R-bloggers? click here if you have a blog, or here if you don't.
In the context of Gaussian random vectors (or more generally elliptical distributions), we can write
The idea is to write the expression above
This technique is extremely popular in finance, to model returns of multiple stocks, from the capital asset pricing model (CAPM, Sharpe (1964) or Mossin (1966)) – with one factor (the so-called market) – to the arbitrage pricing theory (APT, Ross (1976)). For instance, with the following code, we can extract prices of 35 French stocks,
code=read.table( "http://perso.univ-rennes1.fr/arthur.charpentier/ code-CAC.csv",sep=";",header=TRUE) code$Nom=as.character(code$Nom) code$Code=as.character(code$Code) head(code) i=1 library(tseries) code=code[-8,] X<-get.hist.quote(code$Code[i]) Xc=X$Close for(i in 2:nrow(code)){ x<-get.hist.quote(code$Code[i]) xc=x$Close Xc=merge(Xc,xc)}It is natural to consider log-returns, and their correlations,
R=diff(log(Xc)) colnames(R)=code$Code correlation=matrix(NA,ncol(R),ncol(R)) colnames(correlation)=code$Code rownames(correlation)=code$Code for(i in 1:ncol(R)){ for(j in 1: ncol(R)){ I=(is.na(R[,i])==FALSE)&(is.na(R[,j])==FALSE) correlation[i,j]=cor(R[I,i],R[I,j]); }} library(corrgram) corrgram(correlation, order=NULL, lower.panel=panel.shade, upper.panel=NULL, text.panel=panel.txt, main="")
L=eigen(correlation) plot(1:ncol(R),L$values,type="b",col="red")
I.e. we suggest to consider a factor model, with
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